I’m the last person you should listen to when politics (or much of anything else) is concerned. That said, the Democrat’s biggest problem in the run up to the general election (in John’s world) may be expectations. The trickiest expectations to manage may be those for their opponent.
Professional pundits usually say candidates are not elected because of their running mates. But in a close race I can’t help but wonder what will factor into folk’s minds as potential tie breakers. Picture what happens in the VP debates when very little is expected of Palin and she holds her own against the grizzled veteran, Joe Biden. Let’s assume she’s smarter than Bush. I know, it’s hard to imagine, but work with me. Let’s assume she’s well spoken. Let’s assume she can name the capital cities of Europe and the middle east. Remember 2000 when everyone thought Bush was hopelessly over his head going up against Gore in the debates? Obama/Biden could be in for a real challenge, particularly if the media continue to play up her lack of experience. Even a rudimentary grasp of the issues could assuage people’s fears, and turn into a real boon for McCain.